Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Denis Kudla		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.41	1.48
	2.49	1.56
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.37)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Kudla
37.7%

Alexander Bublik
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Kudla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Denis Kudla - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kudla will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Bublik will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bublik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bublik will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kudla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Kudla
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Denis Kudla - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.23	Denis Kudla - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
23.02.23	Denis Kudla - Nick Chappell	2:0 ✺
21.02.23	Denis Kudla - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.23	Denis Kudla - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Alexander Bublik - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexandar Lazarov	Lazarov A. retired ✺
ATP Marseille
25.02.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
07.06.22	Denis Kudla - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Challenger
04.06.18	Alexander Bublik - Denis Kudla	1:2

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