Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	Denis Kudla		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.1	1.37	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.18	1.4
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Kudla
30.2%

Brandon Nakashima
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Kudla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Denis Kudla - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Kudla will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Nakashima will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kudla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakashima is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kudla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nakashima is a favorite.

Nakashima is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Kudla
ATP Washington
04.08.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
03.08.21	Denis Kudla - Feliciano Lopez	2:1 ✺
ATP Atlanta
27.07.21	Christopher OConnell - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
21.07.21	Denis Kudla - Ernesto Escobedo	0:2 ✺
19.07.21	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Washington
04.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
03.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
01.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - John Isner	0:2 ✺
31.07.21	Brandon Nakashima - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
30.07.21	Brandon Nakashima - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW

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