Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Denis Shapovalov		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.2	1.68
	2.16	1.65
	2.29	1.7
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.65	Watch
	2.23	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.86)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
43%

Taylor Harry Fritz
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taylor Harry Fritz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taylor Harry Fritz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.2%	0%	67.8%

Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 19 - 32.2%). Fritz will win (votes: 40 - 67.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 55.9% – 79.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 3.

Recent matches Shapovalov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fritz in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Fritz to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Vienna
25.10.22	Jurij Rodionov - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
21.10.22	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Antoine Bellier - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
08.10.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	Denis Shapovalov - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Vienna
24.10.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
09.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	Nick Kyrgios - Taylor Harry Fritz	Fritz T. walkover ✺
06.10.22	Hiroki Moriya - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
08.10.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1
ATP San Diego
30.09.21	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ATP Doha
11.03.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1
ATP US Open
04.09.20	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:2
Davis Cup World Group
19.11.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	0:2
ATP Delray Beach
23.02.18	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ATP Challenger
15.08.17	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled

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