Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday


	Denis Yevseyev		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
			Watch
	2.06	1.63
	2.15	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.06)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
44.3%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Denis Yevseyev - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Alvarez Varona will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

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Preview

Yevseyev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alvarez Varona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alvarez Varona will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
03.10.21	Denis Yevseyev - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
ATP Astana
20.09.21	Marc Polmans - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Denis Yevseyev - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.21	Denis Yevseyev - Georgii Kravchenko	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
05.09.21	Denis Yevseyev - Jonathan Eysseric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLW?W
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
03.10.21	Ronald Slobodchikov - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Canceled ✺
27.09.21	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Mats Rosenkranz	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
26.09.21	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Michel Vernier	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.21	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.09.21	Luciano Darderi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 ??WL?

Denis Yevseyev - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide