Match Info

Date: 15 December 2021, Wednesday


	Luciano Darderi		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.68	2.14	Watch
	1.61	2.13
	1.65	2.26
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
56.5%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Luciano Darderi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Darderi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darderi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
13.12.21	Pedja Krstin - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
07.12.21	Luciano Darderi - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
05.12.21	Luciano Darderi - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
04.12.21	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. walkover ✺
03.12.21	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLL?W
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
13.12.21	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
06.12.21	Pablo Cuevas - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
02.12.21	Luciano Darderi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
29.11.21	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
25.11.21	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Seyboth Wild T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.12.21	Luciano Darderi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0
05.09.21	Luciano Darderi - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired

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