Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Denis Yevseyev		Pedro Vives Marcos

	1	2
			Watch
	2.38	1.56
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.56)	1.56 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
40.1%

Pedro Vives Marcos
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.

Pedro Vives Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Vives Marcos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Vives Marcos than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Vives Marcos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Denis Yevseyev - Pedro Vives Marcos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Vives Marcos will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Yevseyev (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vives Marcos (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 330. Vives Marcos is ranked ATP: 513.

Yevseyev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vives Marcos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vives Marcos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Denis Yevseyev - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
11.10.25	Denis Yevseyev - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Denis Yevseyev - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Aoran Wang - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW
- Pedro Vives Marcos
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Eero Vasa - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW

Denis Yevseyev - Pedro Vives Marcos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide