Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zaragoza, clay - Final

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Pedro Vives Marcos

	1	2
			Watch
	1.64	2.2
	1.29	3.20	Watch
	1.62	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.61)	2.53 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
62.5%

Pedro Vives Marcos
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.

Pedro Vives Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Vives Marcos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Giustino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Vives Marcos than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Vives Marcos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 285. Vives Marcos is ranked ATP: 579.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Giustino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Noah Lopez Cherubino	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Pedro Vives Marcos
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Eduardo Pobes - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2
16.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0

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