Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Denis Yevseyev		Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.02	1.81
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.23)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
46.2%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Yevseyev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Denis Yevseyev - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gueymard Wayenburg will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yevseyev: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 256. Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 249.

Two players are playing changeable.

Yevseyev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Yevseyev - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.91%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Denis Yevseyev - Rei Sakamoto	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
21.02.25	Denis Yevseyev - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Philip Henning - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Harry Wendelken - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?LWWL
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
20.02.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
10.02.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Mukund Sasikumar	1:2 ✺
10.02.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW

Denis Yevseyev - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide