Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Denis Yevseyev		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.67	2.16
	1.62	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
57.7%

Rei Sakamoto
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Denis Yevseyev - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 262. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 364.

Recent matches Yevseyev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sakamoto is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sakamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yevseyev will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
21.02.25	Denis Yevseyev - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Philip Henning - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Harry Wendelken - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
17.02.25	Johannus Monday - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Filip Misolic - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

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