Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Referee: Boucharinc L. (Fra)


	Denis Yevseyev		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
			Watch
	3.3	1.3
			Watch
	3.48	1.31
	3.29	1.34	Watch
	3.26	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.69)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
28.3%

Sho Shimabukuro
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sho Shimabukuro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Denis Yevseyev - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 197. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 165.

Yevseyev is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shimabukuro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shimabukuro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shimabukuro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
26.09.24	Denis Yevseyev - Tung-Lin Wu	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
25.09.24	Denis Yevseyev - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
17.09.24	Reilly Opelka - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 ?WLWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Chengdu
17.09.24	Yan Bai - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Yan Bai	Bai Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWW?

Denis Yevseyev - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide