Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2 (China), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.19	1.61	Watch
	2.17	1.74
	2.29	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.14	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.09)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
42.5%

Luca Nardi
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sho Shimabukuro - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Nardi will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 196. Nardi is ranked ATP: 90.

Shimabukuro in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Nardi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shimabukuro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Yan Bai	Bai Y. retired ✺
09.09.24	Maxime Cressy - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 W?WWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Kris van Wyk - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Jie Cui - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Luca Nardi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:3 ✺
ATP Washington
30.07.24	Mitchell Krueger - Luca Nardi	Nardi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Luca Nardi - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2

Sho Shimabukuro - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide