Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Dennis Novak		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.72	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.71)	2.73 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
65.9%

Luka Pavlovic
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dennis Novak's performance.

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luka Pavlovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dennis Novak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luka Pavlovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dennis Novak - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Novak is ranked ATP: 301. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 350.

Two players are playing changeable.

Pavlovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novak will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
23.09.24	Dennis Novak - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Dennis Novak - Pedro Araujo	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Jaume Munar - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Kilian Feldbausch - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
12.09.24	Dennis Novak - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Henri Squire - Luka Pavlovic	Canceled ✺
22.09.24	Luka Pavlovic - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Cezar Cretu - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Rudolf Molleker - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Luka Pavlovic - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 ?LWWW

Dennis Novak - Luka Pavlovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide