Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sibiu (Romania), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Cezar Cretu		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.33	Watch
	1.57	2.5
	1.55	2.51	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	2.38 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cezar Cretu
60.6%

Luka Pavlovic
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cezar Cretu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Cezar Cretu - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cretu will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cretu: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cretu is ranked ATP: 307. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 396.

Cretu in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Pavlovic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pavlovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Cretu to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
20.09.24	Stefano Travaglia - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Artem Dubrivnyy - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.24	Cezar Cretu - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Cezar Cretu - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWW?W
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
20.09.24	Rudolf Molleker - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Luka Pavlovic - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Gastao Elias - Luka Pavlovic	Elias G. retired ✺
10.09.24	Christoph Negritu - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Luka Pavlovic - Admir Kalender	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WW?LL

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