Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Dennis Novak		Marc Polmans

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.58	2.35
	1.51	2.39
	1.52	2.59
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)	2.4 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dennis Novak
60.9%

Marc Polmans
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dennis Novak's performance.

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marc Polmans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dennis Novak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Polmans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dennis Novak - Marc Polmans Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Novak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novak will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dennis Novak
ATP US Open
23.08.23	David Goffin - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.23	Dennis Novak - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
01.08.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Joel Josef Schwarzler - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWW
- Marc Polmans
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Marc Polmans - Marius Copil	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Marc Polmans - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
08.08.23	Marc Polmans - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
31.07.23	Marc Polmans - Federico Delbonis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Dennis Novak - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide