Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Seville, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Seville 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Diana Marcinkevica		Gergana Topalova

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Diana Marcinkevica
27.8%

Gergana Topalova
72.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diana Marcinkevica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diana Marcinkevica's form might have worsened.

Gergana Topalova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gergana Topalova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Marcinkevica than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gergana Topalova than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Marcinkevica is ranked WTA: 825. Topalova is ranked WTA: 488.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Topalova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Topalova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diana Marcinkevica
ITF Tournaments
30.09.25	Diana Marcinkevica - Alexis Blokhina	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Diana Marcinkevica - Ania Hertel	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Mathilde Lollia - Diana Marcinkevica	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Diana Marcinkevica - Sara Dols	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Anna Burchak - Diana Marcinkevica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWWW
- Gergana Topalova
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Melisa Ercan - Gergana Topalova	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Gergana Topalova - Beatrice Ricci	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Gergana Topalova - Fiona Ganz	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Gergana Topalova - Allegra Korpanec Davies	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Gergana Topalova - Maelle Leclercq	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Diana Marcinkevica - Gergana Topalova