Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Cap d'Agde, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Gergana Topalova		Allegra Korpanec Davies

	1	2
	1.27	3.64
	1.27	3.32	Watch
	1.29	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.66)	3.43 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gergana Topalova
72.9%

Allegra Korpanec Davies
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gergana Topalova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gergana Topalova's performance.

Allegra Korpanec Davies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Allegra Korpanec Davies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gergana Topalova than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gergana Topalova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Allegra Korpanec Davies than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Allegra Korpanec Davies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gergana Topalova - Allegra Korpanec Davies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Topalova is ranked WTA: 502.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Korpanec Davies may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Topalova could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gergana Topalova
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Gergana Topalova - Maelle Leclercq	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Gergana Topalova - Romane Longueville	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Gergana Topalova	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Helena Stevic - Gergana Topalova	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Gergana Topalova - Ilinca Dalina Amariei	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Allegra Korpanec Davies
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Allegra Korpanec Davies - Ela Nala Milic	Milic E. N. retired ✺
23.09.25	Emma Fulvia Wiesenfeld - Allegra Korpanec Davies	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Merel Hoedt - Allegra Korpanec Davies	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Ania Hertel - Allegra Korpanec Davies	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Anet Angelika Koskel - Allegra Korpanec Davies	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLLW

Gergana Topalova - Allegra Korpanec Davies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide