Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Diego Dedura-Palomero		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
			Watch
	2.27	1.65
			Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Dedura-Palomero
42.9%

Arthur Gea
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Dedura-Palomero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Diego Dedura Palomero - Arthur Gea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 362. Gea is ranked ATP: 291.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Karim-Mohamed Maamoun	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Arthur Gea - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Arthur Gea - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Clement Tabur - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Michael Geerts - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Arthur Gea - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL

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