Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Diego Dedura-Palomero		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.30
	1.50	2.48	Watch
	1.61	2.54
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.40	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	2.38 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Dedura-Palomero
60.5%

Gauthier Onclin
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diego Dedura-Palomero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gauthier Onclin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Diego Dedura Palomero - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dedura-Palomero (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Diego Dedura-Palomero will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 252. Onclin is ranked ATP: 178.

Dedura-Palomero is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Onclin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Onclin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dedura-Palomero could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
24.07.26	Igor Marcondes - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Nicolas Kicker - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Jan Choinski - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
24.07.26	Gauthier Onclin - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Gauthier Onclin - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Gauthier Onclin - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Thijs Boogaard - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Gauthier Onclin - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Diego Dedura-Palomero - Gauthier Onclin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide