Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Diego Dedura-Palomero		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.75	1.9
	1.73	1.98	Watch
	1.85	1.94
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.08)	1.93 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Dedura-Palomero
52.1%

Thiago Monteiro
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diego Dedura-Palomero's performance.

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Monteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Diego Dedura Palomero - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dedura-Palomero will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Monteiro will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Monteiro (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 188. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 282.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Monteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dedura-Palomero won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Dusan Lajovic - Diego Dedura-Palomero	Lajovic D. Retired ✺
10.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Lukas Pokorny - Diego Dedura-Palomero	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 W?LWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Thiago Monteiro - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Thiago Monteiro - Max Hans Rehberg	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Gustavo Heide - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0

Diego Dedura-Palomero - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide