Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Castellon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Castellon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Diego Fernandez Flores		Maxime Chazal

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Diego Fernandez Flores
25.9%

Maxime Chazal
74.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Fernandez Flores has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Maxime Chazal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Fernandez Flores than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Fernandez Flores is ranked ATP: 1028. Chazal is ranked ATP: 574.

Fernandez Flores has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chazal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fernandez Flores may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chazal is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Fernandez Flores
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Tiago Torres - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Alejandro Juan Mano - Diego Fernandez Flores	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Diego Fernandez Flores - Matyas Fuele	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Xavi Palomar - Diego Fernandez Flores	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL
- Maxime Chazal
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Tiago Torres - Maxime Chazal	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Maxime Chazal - Diego Dedura-Palomero	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Mika Petkovic - Maxime Chazal	Chazal M. retired ✺
16.09.25	Niccolo Ciavarella - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Oleg Prihodko - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LL?WL

Diego Fernandez Flores - Maxime Chazal