Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: SHANGHAI (CHINA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	21:40	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:40	SportKlub
Brazil	07:40	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	13:40	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	12:40	SportKlub
Czech Republic	12:40	Eurosport 2
Denmark	12:40	TV2 Sport X
France	12:40	Eurosport 1
Germany	12:40	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	11:40	Sport TV2
Serbia	12:40	SportKlub
Slovenia	12:40	SportKlub
Sweden	12:40	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	13:40	Setanta Sports


	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.92
	1.93	1.95
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.92	Watch
	1.88	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	1.92 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
50.4%

Luca Van Assche
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.2%	0%	65.8%

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Schwartzman will win (votes: 13 - 34.2%). Van Assche will win (votes: 25 - 65.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 50.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwartzman is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Van Assche is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schwartzman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
21.09.23	Alex Bolt - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	Schwartzman D. retired ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Arthur Rinderknech	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 L?LLW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
30.09.23	Jack Draper - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	David Goffin - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Luca Nardi - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
25.09.23	Alex Molcan - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Luca Van Assche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Luca Van Assche

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Preview

Form

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