Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORLEANS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: ORLEANS (FRANCE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	18:00	beIN Sports Max


	Luca Nardi		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.45	1.5	Watch
	2.52	1.55
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.47	Watch
	2.46	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.25)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
37.6%

Luca Van Assche
62.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Luca Nardi - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Van Assche is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Assche will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
25.09.23	Luca Nardi - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Luca Nardi - Manuel Guinard	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Luca Nardi - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
25.09.23	Alex Molcan - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Luca Van Assche	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	Luca Van Assche - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Max Purcell - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.01.23	Luca Van Assche - Luca Nardi	2:0

Luca Nardi - Luca Van Assche