Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Dmitry Popko		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.33	1.54
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.44	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.26)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dmitry Popko
38.8%

Gonzalo Bueno
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Dmitry Popko - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: Gonzalo Bueno will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popko is ranked ATP: 220. Bueno is ranked ATP: 270.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bueno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bueno will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Popko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Dmitry Popko - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.01%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Santiago De La Fuente	Popko D. retired ✺
ATP Acapulco
22.02.25	Dmitry Popko - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
09.02.25	Dmitry Popko - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.02.25	Dmitry Popko - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?LLWL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
05.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gonzalo Bueno	Bueno G. retired ✺
13.02.25	Lucio Ratti - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Gonzalo Bueno	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LW?W?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.01.24	Dmitry Popko - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2

Dmitry Popko - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide