Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Pedro Boscardin Dias		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.56
	2.41	1.63
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Boscardin Dias
40.5%

Gonzalo Bueno
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Boscardin Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Boscardin Dias than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Boscardin Dias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Boscardin Dias will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bueno will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boscardin Dias: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boscardin Dias (votes: 1 - 50%). Bueno (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Boscardin Dias (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boscardin Dias (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bueno (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boscardin Dias is ranked ATP: 258. Bueno is ranked ATP: 213.

Boscardin Dias is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bueno has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boscardin Dias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bueno is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boscardin Dias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Boscardin Dias - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Boscardin Dias
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Amador Salazar - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gonzalo Bueno	Bueno G. retired

Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide