Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: SANTIAGO (CHILE) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:35	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:35	SportKlub
Bulgaria	01:35	Max Sport 2
Croatia	00:35	SportKlub
Czech Republic	00:35	Nova Sport 2
France	00:35	beIN Sports
Portugal	23:35	Sport TV
Serbia	00:35	SportKlub
Slovenia	00:35	SportKlub


	Dominic Thiem		Christian Garin

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.72	2.14
	1.76	2.17
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.17	Watch
	1.72	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
56%

Christian Garin
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dominic Thiem - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Thiem will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Garin will win (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Thiem is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Garin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thiem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Thiem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.23	Dominic Thiem - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.23	Dominic Thiem - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Alex Molcan - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.02.23	Borna Coric - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Borna Gojo - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Christian Garin
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
09.02.23	Christian Garin - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
07.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.02.23	Christian Garin - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Christian Garin - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
29.10.20	Christian Garin - Dominic Thiem	0:2

Dominic Thiem - Christian Garin