Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.4	1.57
	2.47	1.6
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.45	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.9)	1.58 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
39.7%

Christian Garin
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	0%	79.2%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: Christian Garin will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martinez Portero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Garin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Martinez Portero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
07.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.23	Marcos Giron - Pedro Martinez Portero	Canceled ✺
ATP Pune
05.01.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLL?L
- Christian Garin
ATP Cordoba
09.02.23	Christian Garin - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
07.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.02.23	Christian Garin - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Christian Garin - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.23	Sebastian Korda - Christian Garin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
07.02.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	1:2
ATP Miami
26.03.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	2:0
ATP Australian Open
19.01.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	2:3
ATP Bastad
14.07.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.21	Christian Garin - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:1

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