Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV
Switzerland	SRF


	Dominic Thiem		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.37	1.57
	2.25	1.62
	2.38	1.58
	2.34	1.58
	2.46	1.62
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.59	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.42)	1.59 (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Thiem
40%

Matteo Berrettini
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Thiem will win (votes: 46 - 82.1%). Berrettini will win (votes: 10 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 72.1% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thiem won 3.

Thiem is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Berrettini is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Thiem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Berrettini will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Berrettini to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Thiem won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Thiem
ATP Gstaad
22.07.22	Dominic Thiem - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
21.07.22	Dominic Thiem - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
19.07.22	Hugo Gaston - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem	2:1 ✺
14.07.22	Dominic Thiem - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Gstaad
22.07.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
21.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Matteo Berrettini - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP London
19.06.22	Filip Krajinovic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
01.02.21	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
Exhibition Bett1 Aces Berlin Men
15.07.20	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	2:1
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
28.06.20	Matteo Berrettini - Dominic Thiem	1:2
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.19	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Vienna
26.10.19	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	2:1
ATP Shanghai
11.10.19	Matteo Berrettini - Dominic Thiem	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.18	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	3:1

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