Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: KITZBUHEL (AUSTRIA), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Baez		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.84	1.98
	1.91	1.98
	1.84	2.08
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	1.87	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
51.4%

Dominic Thiem
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 17 - 33.3%). Thiem will win (votes: 34 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 53.8% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel
04.08.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
03.08.23	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
26.07.23	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Kitzbuhel
04.08.23	Laslo Djere - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
03.08.23	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
01.08.23	Facundo Bagnis - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
27.07.23	Jiri Lehecka - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
15.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem	2:1

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