Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday


	Hugo Gaston		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.55	1.49
	2.55	1.43
	2.67	1.49
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.49	Watch
	2.41	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3)	1.49 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
37.1%

Dominic Thiem
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominic Thiem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominic Thiem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Hugo Gaston - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 18 - 90%). Thiem will win (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 76.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Thiem will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gaston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
16.09.22	Hugo Gaston - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
14.09.22	Hugo Gaston - Gabriel Debru	2:1 ✺
13.09.22	Hugo Gaston - Yannick Mertens	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.22	Alexander Bublik - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.22	John Millman - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Challenger
16.09.22	Adrian Andreev - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
15.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
13.09.22	Dominic Thiem - Gilles Simon	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Dominic Thiem	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.22	Dominic Thiem - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gstaad
19.07.22	Hugo Gaston - Dominic Thiem	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
04.10.20	Hugo Gaston - Dominic Thiem	2:3

Hugo Gaston - Dominic Thiem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide