Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TURIN 2 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday


	Dominik Koepfer		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.76	2.02
	1.78	2.08
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.77	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.76)	1.98 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominik Koepfer
52.8%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominik Koepfer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dominik Koepfer's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dominik Koepfer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.4%	0%	2.6%

Dominik Koepfer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Koepfer will win (votes: 38 - 97.4%). Varillas will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Koepfer: 92.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Koepfer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Dominik Koepfer - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Dominik Koepfer - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Dominik Koepfer - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Dominik Koepfer - Evan Furness	Furness E. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWW?
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Roma
10.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
20.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

Dominik Koepfer - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide