Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 10 May 2023, Wednesday


	Sebastian Baez		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.38	3.05
	1.42	2.9
	1.47	2.86
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.39	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.92 ↑ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
67.4%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	0%	10.3%

Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baez won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Baez won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.23	Oscar Otte - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Sebastian Baez - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
07.04.23	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
20.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
19.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Benjamin Bonzi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Santiago
22.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0
ATP Challenger
23.10.21	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0
10.10.21	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2
ATP Hamburg
11.07.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	2:1
ATP Challenger
15.05.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	1:2
20.03.21	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0

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