Match Info

Date: 26 September 2022, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Dragos Nicolae Madaras		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
	1.59	2.22
	1.65	2.28
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)	2.24 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dragos Nicolae Madaras
58%

Petr Nesterov
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dragos Nicolae Madaras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dragos Nicolae Madaras's form might have worsened.

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dragos Nicolae Madaras than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dragos Nicolae Madaras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Madaras will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Nesterov will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nesterov: 59.8% – 100%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Madaras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Madaras is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragos Nicolae Madaras
ATP Sofia
25.09.22	Stefano Travaglia - Dragos Nicolae Madaras	Travaglia S. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.22	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.22	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Andrew Paulson	2:1 ✺
02.09.22	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Wilson Leite	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?LLWW
- Petr Nesterov
ATP Sofia
25.09.22	Petr Nesterov - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.09.22	Petr Nesterov - Dragos Nicolae Cazacu	0:2 ✺
24.08.22	Lorenzo Bocchi - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Petr Nesterov - Tadeas Paroulek	0:2 ✺
29.07.22	Petr Nesterov - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLLW

Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide