Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Duje Ajdukovic		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.05
	1.68	2.21
	1.68	2.22
	1.57	2.25
	1.65	2.14	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.35)	2.15 ↓ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
56.6%

Kaichi Uchida
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duje Ajdukovic's form might have worsened.

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaichi Uchida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duje Ajdukovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaichi Uchida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	0%	89.7%

Duje Ajdukovic - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Ajdukovic will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). Uchida will win (votes: 35 - 89.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uchida: 80.2% – 99.2%.

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Preview

Recent matches Ajdukovic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Uchida is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Uchida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
24.10.23	Zsombor Piros - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
14.10.23	Tomas Machac - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWL?
- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Yuta Shimizu - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Kaichi Uchida - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
13.10.23	Marcos Giron - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	James Duckworth - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLL

Duje Ajdukovic - Kaichi Uchida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide