Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	Duje Ajdukovic		Pierre-Hugues Herbert

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.75	1.98
	1.8	2.04
	1.81	2.04
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.8	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.17)	2.01 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
53.3%

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Duje Ajdukovic's performance.

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pierre-Hugues Herbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duje Ajdukovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pierre-Hugues Herbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Duje Ajdukovic - Pierre Hugues Herbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ajdukovic will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Herbert will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Herbert: 46.1% – 91.5%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Herbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ajdukovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Richard Gasquet	Canceled ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?LWWL
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Barcelona
13.04.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Corentin Moutet - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Arthur Gea - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.01.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2
22.10.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0

Duje Ajdukovic - Pierre-Hugues Herbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide