Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Duje Ajdukovic		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2.08	1.81
	1.96	1.74	Watch
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	2.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.15)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
46.8%

Ryan Peniston
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Duje Ajdukovic - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: Ryan Peniston will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 322. Peniston is ranked ATP: 194.

In recent matches, Ajdukovic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peniston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ajdukovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Peniston will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ajdukovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Duje Ajdukovic - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.42%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.12.21	Duje Ajdukovic - Ryan Peniston	1:2

Duje Ajdukovic - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide