Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Takuya Kumasaka		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.38	1.27	Watch
	3.57	1.25	Watch
	4.01	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.75)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Takuya Kumasaka
26.3%

Ryan Peniston
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Takuya Kumasaka's form might have worsened.

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Peniston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Takuya Kumasaka - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kumasaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Peniston will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ryan Peniston will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 498. Peniston is ranked ATP: 194.

Kumasaka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peniston is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kumasaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Peniston could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Peniston will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Taku Ito	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Kasidit Samrej - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Maxim Zhukov	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Ryan Peniston - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW

Takuya Kumasaka - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide