Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Duncan Chan		Colton Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.36
	2.85	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.95	1.39
	2.81	1.38	Watch
	2.80	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.25)	1.38 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duncan Chan
32.6%

Colton Smith
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duncan Chan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duncan Chan's form might have worsened.

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colton Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duncan Chan than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duncan Chan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colton Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Duncan Chan - Colton Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chan is ranked ATP: 489., and Smith is ranked ATP: 211..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Smith could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Smith holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Colton Smith - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.92%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duncan Chan
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Duncan Chan - Keaton Hance	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Duncan Chan - Denis Petak	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Duncan Chan - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Duncan Chan - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Duncan Chan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLW
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Timo Legout - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Stefan Kozlov - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Jerome Kym - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Colton Smith - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW

Duncan Chan - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide