Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Dusan Lajovic		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.47	2.84
	1.45	2.71	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	2.73 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
65.1%

Damir Dzumhur
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dusan Lajovic's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dusan Lajovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Dusan Lajovic - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: Dusan Lajovic will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 81. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 90.

Lajovic is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dzumhur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dzumhur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lajovic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Dusan Lajovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
05.01.25	Adam Walton - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
01.01.25	Jakub Mensik - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Marco Trungelliti - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Sergey Fomin - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Adria Tour Men
14.06.20	Dusan Lajovic - Damir Dzumhur	Canceled
ATP US Open
27.08.18	Dusan Lajovic - Damir Dzumhur	3:1

Dusan Lajovic - Damir Dzumhur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide