Match Info

Date: 25 April 2022, Monday


	Dusan Lajovic		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.38	1.57
	2.4	1.53
	2.53	1.57
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.49	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.04)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
39%

Francis Tiafoe
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dusan Lajovic's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Dusan Lajovic - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lajovic is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lajovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tiafoe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Belgrade
19.04.22	Dusan Lajovic - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	Dusan Lajovic - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Dusan Lajovic - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.22	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.22	Filip Krajinovic - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Barcelona
22.04.22	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
20.04.22	Francis Tiafoe - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
08.04.22	Francis Tiafoe - John Isner	1:2 ✺
07.04.22	Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Cuevas	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Francis Tiafoe - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
26.10.21	Dusan Lajovic - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Miami
28.03.21	Francis Tiafoe - Dusan Lajovic	2:1
ATP Antwerp
19.10.20	Dusan Lajovic - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.17	Dusan Lajovic - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

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