Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Mexico	ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	ESPN 2, ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Francis Tiafoe		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.75	1.46	Watch
	2.87	1.48
	2.91	1.43	Watch
	2.8	1.46
	2.84	1.49	Watch
	2.8	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.63)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
34.3%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 23. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 4.

Tiafoe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aliassime-Auger has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aliassime-Auger might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.99%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Arthur Rinderknech	Tiafoe F. Retired ✺
04.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WW?WL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Titouan Droguet - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Novak Djokovic	2:3 ✺
05.07.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
19.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1
ATP Paris
04.11.22	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Barcelona
22.04.22	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP US Open
05.09.21	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:3

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