Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6


	Dusan Lajovic		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.39	Watch
	3.21	1.4
	2.95	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 (3)	1.4 (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
31.8%

Sebastian Baez
68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Dusan Lajovic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sebastian Baez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Baez will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Hamburg
16.07.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Dusan Lajovic	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
26.06.24	Borna Coric - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
25.06.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Dusan Lajovic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL?LL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Hamburg
16.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.24	Sebastian Baez - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Sebastian Ofner - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
11.05.24	Sebastian Baez - Dusan Lajovic	2:0
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.23	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.22	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	1:3

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