Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Dominik Koepfer		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.92	1.45
	2.82	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.78	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.61)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominik Koepfer
34%

Sebastian Baez
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominik Koepfer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Dominik Koepfer - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Koepfer will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Baez will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Koepfer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baez is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Koepfer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Fabio Fognini	Canceled ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.24	Dominik Koepfer - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.24	Dominik Koepfer - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Dominik Koepfer	Auger-Aliassime F. retired ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Dominik Koepfer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ??L?L
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.24	Sebastian Baez - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Sebastian Ofner - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
27.05.24	Gustavo Heide - Sebastian Baez	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
23.03.24	Dominik Koepfer - Sebastian Baez	2:0

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