Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zug 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Dylan Dietrich		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.9	2.01
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.79	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.88	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dylan Dietrich
51.8%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dylan Dietrich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dylan Dietrich than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Dylan Dietrich - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dietrich (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dietrich is ranked ATP: 618. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 139.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dylan Dietrich
ATP Gstaad
14.07.26	Jerome Kym - Dylan Dietrich	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Dylan Dietrich - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Otto Virtanen - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Dylan Dietrich	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.06.26	Dylan Dietrich - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Paul Jubb - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dylan Dietrich
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Dylan Dietrich - Jeffrey John Wolf	✺

Dylan Dietrich - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera