Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Dane Sweeny		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.26	1.61
	2.61	1.57
	2.10	1.70	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.25	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.04)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
41%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dane Sweeny's form might have worsened.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Dane Sweeny - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweeny: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 126. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 135.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrios Vera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Darwin Blanch	Blanch Dar. Retired ✺
22.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ?WLLW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Paul Jubb - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Luka Pavlovic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL

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