Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Edas Butvilas		Mert Alkaya

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Edas Butvilas
70.3%

Mert Alkaya
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Butvilas (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Butvilas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Butvilas is ranked ATP: 277. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 392.

Butvilas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alkaya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Butvilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Butvilas is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Elyas Abdulnabi	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Edas Butvilas - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Guy Den Ouden - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Alberto Bronzetti - Mert Alkaya	Bronzetti A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Florian Broska - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Thomas Faurel - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Leo Borg - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Tiago Cacao - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LWWW

Edas Butvilas - Mert Alkaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide