Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Thomas Faurel		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.45	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.11)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas Faurel
37.5%

Mert Alkaya
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas Faurel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thomas Faurel's form might have worsened.

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mert Alkaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Thomas Faurel - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkaya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Faurel is ranked ATP: 516. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 407.

Faurel has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alkaya is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Faurel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alkaya could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Alkaya will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas Faurel
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Cyril Vandermeersch - Thomas Faurel	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Thomas Faurel - Nicolas Robert	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Thomas Faurel - Karim Bennani	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Thomas Faurel - Amir Omarkhanov	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Thomas Faurel - Theo Herrmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Leo Borg - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Tiago Cacao - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Olle Wallin - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Saveliy Ivanov - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Thomas Faurel - Mert Alkaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide