Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANREMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 30 March 2023, Thursday


	Edoardo Lavagno		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.2	1.31
	3.28	1.35
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.13	1.33	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.6)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edoardo Lavagno
29.5%

Andrea Vavassori
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edoardo Lavagno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edoardo Lavagno's form might have worsened.

Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Vavassori's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edoardo Lavagno than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edoardo Lavagno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Vavassori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Edoardo Lavagno - Andrea Vavassori Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lavagno will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Vavassori will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vavassori: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Vavassori could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vavassori is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edoardo Lavagno
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Valentin Vacherot - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
27.03.23	Alexey Vatutin - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Giorgio Tabacco - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Ivan Liutarevich - Edoardo Lavagno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Pavel Kotov	Kotov P. retired ✺
27.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Gabriel Decamps	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WWLW

Edoardo Lavagno - Andrea Vavassori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide