Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN MARINO (SAN MARINO), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: SAN MARINO (SAN MARINO) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Edoardo Lavagno		Fabio Fognini

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Edoardo Lavagno
30%

Fabio Fognini
70%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edoardo Lavagno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edoardo Lavagno than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Users Predictions: Fabio Fognini will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Recent matches Lavagno is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fognini is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fognini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fognini is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fognini to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edoardo Lavagno
ATP Challenger
31.07.23	Marco De Rossi - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
27.07.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
24.07.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Edoardo Lavagno	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
10.07.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Andrea Collarini - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
30.07.23	Fabio Fognini - Joris De Loore	0:2 ✺
28.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
27.07.23	Aziz Dougaz - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
25.07.23	Kilian Feldbausch - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Edoardo Lavagno - Fabio Fognini