Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Docu
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Jakub Mensik		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.34	3.05	Watch
	1.41	3.16
	1.41	3.16
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.37	3.12	Watch
	1.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
69.5%

Fabio Fognini
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mensik is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mensik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Mallorca
25.06.24	Christopher Eubanks - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
10.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Jakub Mensik - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLL??
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Mallorca
24.06.24	Fabio Fognini - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Maxime Janvier - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Luciano Darderi - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Matteo Gigante - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
23.08.23	Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini	2:1
ATP Challenger
28.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Fabio Fognini	0:2

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