Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Eduardo Ribeiro		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.36	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.86	1.44
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (1.94)	1.4 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eduardo Ribeiro
33.4%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eduardo Ribeiro's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eduardo Ribeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Eduardo Ribeiro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Moreno De Alboran (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreno De Alboran (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ribeiro is ranked ATP: 453. Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 632.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Moreno De Alboran may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eduardo Ribeiro
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Luka Bojicic Ono	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Victor Braga - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Adam Walton - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW

Eduardo Ribeiro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide